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Integrated Pitchfork Analysis Applied to Forex, Part 2: Integration of This Approach with Other Modern Tools for Best Results wi

By Dr. Mircea Dologa, MD, CTA
Posted: December 21, 2007

As I mentioned in Part 1 of this article, this technique will offer a unique professional trading edge that will keep you well ahead of the crowd. The paragraphs that follow will describe the integration of the method with already existing modern trading tools.

Many of these tools did not exist or were not symbiotically or synergistically used together more than a quarter century ago. But, nowadays, these tools surely belong in the arsenal of the profitable and consistent professional trader:

  • Inter-market analysis
  • Multiple time frames
  • Multiple time frame floor pivots
  • Fibonacci ratio arcs
  • Elliott Wave principles
  • Gann tools
  • Jenkins circles
  • Wolfe Waves
  • Ellipses

In the interest of time and space, I will not be able to treat all of these tools, even briefly. However, if you are interested, you can go to the courses section of pitchforktrader.com, where you will find the contents of both of my books listed. Free excerpts can also be found on the site.

Fibonacci Ratio Arcs

All of the tools described subsequently can be found in the Advanced GET software (more about Advanced GET on www.esignal.com).

Fig 1

Figure 2. As you can observe on this chart defining the contextual pitchfork, the role of the Fibonacci arcs is primordial in this instance. The 2.618 Fibonacci ratio arc points toward several possible confluences formed by its intersection with the median lines and its acolytes. For the moment, we will only retain the 144400 level as a possible key level. If we are to understand its full importance, this level must be confirmed by at least two other tools.

Pitchforks Applied to Price & RSI -- P1 / P2 Fibonacci Ratio Trend Lines

The associated use of RSI applied to market flow and also to itself will frequently unveil opportunities that are otherwise hidden. The use of P1 / P2 Fibonacci ratio trend lines will often pinpoint key reversal levels, unknown even by some pitchfork traders.

Fig 2

Figure 3. As you can observe on this chart, the local market was halted by the upper P1 / P2 75% trend line. However, the ascending RSI pitchfork signals that, after two LML tests, the momentum is still up.

Gann Angles and Multiple Confluences

Fig 3

Figure 4. The 2x3 Gann angle strongly supports the up-trend, having already been tested eight times. It created two intersections (n° 3 and 5). They will be our reversal border line, in case of an angle TL down-breakout.

Gann's Percentage Method of Revealing the Next High

One of the most reliable Gann tools, after the 45° angle, is the percentage method, illustrated in Figure 5. It reveals the most probable following high or low.

Fig 4

Figure 5. This Gann percentage table finds the next highly probable highs calculated from an old low. We have tried several lows to project the probable high, which will end the current ongoing impulse pattern. We have retained, as the most optimal useable lows, the 127820 level (W2 value) and the most recent low (wIV:w5:W5) at the 140330 level. Their two projected highs, pointed to by the two table arrows, are 144715 and 149122 “to be highs” highs. They have to be confirmed by at least two other tools.

W5 End -- Miner and Fisher Fibonacci Ratios -- Multiple-Level Cluster Calculations

Most of us are familiar with the Fibonacci ratio used to calculate price or even time extensions or retracements. In this section of the article, I will describe the calculations necessary for obtaining the multi-level cluster of a W5 termination, the last wave of the impulse pattern.

 By studying the table in Figure 6, you will notice that we have used Elliott Wave levels (refer to the chart in Figure 7) to calculate the very probable W5 termination level. Careful observation will reveal that we have used the sub-waves, W1, W0-3, W4 of W5, and also the even-lesser-degree sub-waves, w1, w2, w3, w0-3 and w4 of W5: W5. Finally, we obtained an 11-layer cluster from 144602 to 144896, with a median cluster zone value at the 144750 level, which represents a cluster width of only 0.203% of the highest current market.

By observing the chart in Figure 7, you'll notice that the 144750 level is exactly where the 2.618 Fibonacci ratio intersects the upper median line of the ascending pitchfork -- a superb confluence across the tool methods.

Fig 5

Fig 6

Figure 7. This chart was used to build the table in Figure 6. One can easily see the confluence formed by the intersection of the 2.618 Fibonacci ratio arc with the upper median line of the ascending pitchfork.

Elliott W5 -- The Highest High -- A Gann Square of Nine Confirmation

Fig 7

Figure 8. This table showing a Gann Square of Nine confirms that the 144500 to 144861 zone levels belong to the 3rd cycle of the square, at 270° and 360°. These two-degree levels are known as reversal key degrees. We have used, for cluster calculations, the most recent low at 140330 level, which belongs to wIV: w5:W5.

The Benefit of Integration

As you can see, the different state-of-the-art techniques previously described perfectly integrate with pitchfork analysis. We firmly believe that the Integrated Pitchfork Analysis technique not only puts the trader well ahead of the crowd but also ensures a very high probability of detecting and executing low-risk, high-probability trades.

*Reprinted (and modified) with permission from Dr. Mircea Dologa. Parts 1 and 2 of this article were first published as one article in Forex Mastery magazine, November 2007.

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